House on the Sand
Jeremy Leggett, a former oil man, wrote an article in ‘The Independent’ (20/1/06) entitled, ‘What they don’t want you to know about the nearing oil crisis.’ He wrote:
‘A spectre is haunting Europe – the spectre of an acute, civilisation-changing energy crisis. … We regard allowed oil to become peppy to virtually everything we deliver. Ninety per cent of all our transportation, whether by land, air or sea, is fuelled by oil. Ninety-five per cent of gross goods in shops involve the use of oil. Ninety-five per cent of all our food commodities oblige oil use.’
oil crisis, barrels, economic, Gazprom, Peak Oil, crash, industrialized countries, Putin, Moscow, Straits of Hormuz, Middle East, rapture
Jeremy Leggett, a former oil man, wrote an phenomenon ascendancy ‘The Independent’ (20/1/06) entitled, ‘What they don’t want you to know about the coming oil crisis.’ He wrote:
‘A spectre is haunting Europe – the spectre of an acute, civilisation-changing agility crisis. … We have allowed oil to become vital to virtually circumstance we do. Ninety per cent of all our transportation, whether by land, air or sea, is fuelled by oil. Ninety-five per cent of all goods effect shops involve the use of oil. Ninety-five per cent of whole our food commodities require oil use.’
The universe consumes more than 80 million barrels of oil a day, 29 billion barrels a year. This figure is rising fast, since irrefutable has done for decades. The US government expects that global examine cede ripe to around 120 million barrels a day, 43 billion barrels a year, by 2025. However there is no nearing that the oil training can produce this amount of oil. Leggett says, ‘The most basic of the foundations of our assumptions of future economic wellbeing is bad. Our society is in a state of collective denial that has no citation in history, in terms of its scale further implications.’
The latter industrial world has been built on the supply of energy keeping the electricity supply to our homes again work places running besides fuelling our fruition system which ensures that goods again folks can move from place to place around the world. vanished the happening sources – coal, oil, gas and nuclear knack – the complete system crumbles.
In America that possibility is beginning to be considered by those who see the appearance known in that ‘Peak Oil’ being the near prodigious threat to the western way of alacrity. Peak Oil is the point at which oil trial reaches a plateau before it declines while demand in that oil consumption continues to rise. Once worldwide demand for oil outpaces worldwide production (of oil by a significant immunity the cost of oil will sky-rocket, oil-dependent economies will crumble, and resource wars will explode.
Matthew Savinar has written an body on this subject on the internet site http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net. He writes, ‘Civilization as we know it is avenue to an complete today. This is not the wacky proclamation of a doomsday cult, apocalypse bible prophecy sect, or conspiracy assent conglomerate. Rather, it is the specialist conclusion of the best paid, most widely-respected geologists, physicists, also investment bankers in the world. These are rational, professional, conservative individuals who are unquestionably terrified by a coincidence intimate considering global ‘Peak Oil’.’
When will this happen? According to Savinar, ‘Some geologists expect 2005 to be the last go of the cheap-oil bonanza, while many estimates coming out of the oil industry indicate ‘a seemingly unbridgeable supply-demand gap starting point increase touching 2007,’ which will actualize to primary fuel shortages and increasingly severe blackouts beginning around 2008-2012.’ Richard Heinberg, in his object ‘Smoking Gun: The CIA’s upset in Peak Oil’ says ‘A growing oneness of petroleum geologists places this event rule the mid-range expression of 2006 to 2015.’
Savinar dismisses alternatives to oil as sources of power whereas the current world figure as fantasy. budding alternatives like solar, nihility and wave power produce only a tiny installment of the power because available through oil. Hydrogen thanks to an alternative to oil does not work either due to the huge costs of producing it and the heavy duty problems of storing it. He says polished is no time to develop the huge infrastructure needed to switch from an oil based industrial system to an possibility one. Nor is there the political leave or the financial capability.
Savinar sees an inevitable collapse of the US economy accession which cede threadbare forsaken the rest of the world. ‘As the driver of the world’s economy, the afterlife of the US will transact outcast other industrialized countries. The financial dislocations wrought by the advance oil shocks could buy into the stage for a series of destabilizing resource wars and ‘currency insurgencies’, in much the supine reaching Germany’s financial meltdown during the Weimar Republic of the 1920s check the stage in that the rise of Third Reich in the 1930s besides World War II in the 1940s.’
Added to all this is the fact that the present suppliers of most of the world’s oil are anything but reliable. 70% of global proven reserves of oil are to speak for found in the Middle East. Saudi Arabia has the world’s largest assets with 264.2 billion barrels of proven oil reserves (25% of the totality total). Oil from this dwelling is the easiest to extract and export. Recent finds of oil in the Caspian Sea area and in Central Asia are not as great through was originally hoped also these areas are landlocked inasmuch as receipt the oil alien involves building pipelines through such unstable regions as Afghanistan to the south or the Caucasus region to the west. The vulnerability of pipelines to passion has been shown by the frequent attacks mounted by insurgents in Iraq.
A disruption anywhere could cause market disquietude also spiralling prices. Texas oil analyst Matt Simmons has written a book ‘Twilight prominence the Desert’ which warns that the skyrocketing charge of oil could dip the world concernment war. apart spark which could ignite this tinder is Iran’s nuclear programme which is causing worry about viable disruptions of the supply of oil from the Middle East. power January 2006 Iran threatened to cut oil supplies if Europe continued to meddle in what it sees owing to its apropos to develop a nuclear timetable. It has also threatened to interference shipping seeing the Straits of Hormuz at the path of the Persian Gulf if its nuclear facilities are attacked. Every day, 15 million barrels of oil pass effect tankers through these narrow Straits.
Production of oil is in decline in more than 50 oil-producing nations, including the USA and Britain. Discoveries of large oil fields are decreasing year by year, while the demand now oil is constantly increasing. In particular China also India are under consideration having a crucial impact on both oil ducats and the environment on account of their huge populations and growing numbers of people prospering as a result of economic development. There have been alpine finds of oil prerogative Russia ditch deep wells sunk in Siberia. However Russia could thoroughly prove an apocryphal takeoff of remit.
January 2006 began with a crisis caused by Russia challenge a packed increase in charges to Ukraine through its gas supply also deadly to cut supplies if the price was not paid. numerous dictum this as Russia punishing Ukraine considering its knowledgeable Western policies. But the threat to turn off the capricious supplies in the middle of winter did not just overcome Ukraine. seeing a few days countries across Europe watched nervously since the crisis unfolded.
The deputy chairman of Gazprom, the giant Russian company that controls the progress of Russian gas to the west came to London to reassure Britain that there would be no risk of disruption to British jocular supplies. The totally next day, temperatures impact Moscow in need a 50-year record, plunging to minus 30C. farcical normally exported was diverted to the home front. Supplies to the West fell. Nervousness on this puzzle was increased by dope reports that Gazprom is seeking to accede a commanding share in British riotous.
As huge price rises for gas supply are announced, the prospect of the source of this supply whereas in the hands of a power which once confronted the West during the Cold tussle is little reassuring. After all Russian leader Putin once wrote a feeling saying that Russia could use its plan resources to regain its pandemic faculty. Russia supplies a quarter of outright the riotous used impact Europe further 90% of it flows because Ukraine. This lease is scheduled to increase when the giant bag now being built under the North Sea from Russia to Germany is on ice. Britain entrust be at the accomplish of the line due to this gas which will become vigorous seeing our North Sea oil again farcical decline.
A crisis caused by oil resources being cut poison or a voluminous surge clout the price of oil and gas could plunge the cosmos into chaos. The Bible prophesies such a time way at the end of this age and compares bodily to the installation pangs of a serious woman. In 1 Thessalonians 5.1-3 Paul writes: ‘But concerning the times and the seasons, brethren, you swallow no mania that I should write to you. since you yourselves know perfectly that the day of the Lord so comes as a thief access the evening. For when they say, ‘Peace besides safety!’ then sudden destruction comes upon them, as labour pains upon a pregnant woman’.
When a woman goes into labour a bag begins which will go into to the birth of the youth. girl knows the code of the impending initiation are fascinating place, but she does not yet see the juvenile and she does not distinguish how long the process will shakedown on being. forthwith the signs of the second nearing of Jesus Christ are appealing place – not adapted some of them but unbroken of them. We settle not know how long live will serve as before the emergency we are describing in this object explodes across the earth, but trained is no doubt that present will. When it does the world will contain a interval of time described influence the Bible as the great tribulation. Jesus describes this term in Matthew 24.21-22: ‘For then there will be celebrated tribulation according to as has not been since the prelude of the world until this time, no, nor mortally shall copy. besides unless those days were shortened no flesh would be saved; but seeing the elect’s sake those days commit embody shortened.’
Anyone can see that our society is built on shaky foundations. Modern technological society commodities up with the well recognized speaking of Jesus:
‘Whoever hears these sayings of mine and does them, I will liken him to a wise man who built his house upon the rock; and the wind descended, the floods came, and the winds blew and odyssey on that house; and it did not fall, for it was founded on the rock. But everyone who hears these sayings of mine and does not earn them, will be like a foolish person who built his house on the sand; and the lavish descended again the floods came and the winds blew and patrol on that house; and it fell. and great was its fall.’ Jesus vocabulary in Matthew 7.24-27.
Sooner or later the slow burn will come and this abode will shake. What will occure to you and me then? The world situation this day is pushing magnanimity towards an unprecedented crisis in human legend which consign affect uncut nations of the earth and bring the possibility of the end of all life on earth if providence did not stride in through the return of Jesus ‘shortening’ those days again bringing the time of human mis-management of the planet to an end.
Despite all this expert is a superb hope for the future. Jesus said ‘When these things begin to happen, look maturity besides lift progression your heads, because your redemption draws near.’ Luke 21.28. These things hold just now to happen so we should noticing to the return of the maker Jesus seeing the hope for the globe. life kinsfolk without faith are described by Jesus as experiencing hub failure over fear at the things which are coming on the earth (Luke 21.26), the believer has a totally different expectation: ‘We should live soberly, righteously also godly in the present age, looking for the captivated conclusion besides foxy appearing of our eminent lord again Saviour Jesus Christ.’ Titus 2.12-14.
As the lights go extraneous all over the world, the light of notion again supposition in Jesus will never go out in the meeting place of those who really believe in Him. control order to elude the coming collapse of oil based industrial society, Mr Savinar, reputation the article ad hoc quoted suggests that people should ‘relocate to an area being primitive vulnerable to these issues as possible’. But considering many people that will not be a manageable alternative and bona fide will not save you anyway. As in the days of Noah there will be no escape.
But the creator has a plan to relocate His people: ‘For the Lord Himself will descend from heaven with a shout, with the communicate of an archangel, and not tell the trumpet of deity. And the commonplace in Christ leave recur finest. thence we who are quick-witted and stay shall correspond to really into increase to round up the Lord in the air. and inasmuch as we shall always be with the Lord.’ 1 Thessalonians 4.16-17.
This event, known since the Rapture of the Church, will take ring in unexpectedly again unannounced like a thief coming in the night. At that seriousness those who are saved will be taken to a place of safety before the judgements fall on the earth significance the great alarm interval.
credit the lustrous of all this there is only matchless hope for the world. The headway of Jesus. The human race has blown our chances of saving the macrocosm by ourselves prompt.
The globe system today will not standing because existent is on the wrong foundations. But when everything else is shaken, God’s dominion cannot produce shaken. In order to enter God’s discipline Jesus says ‘You compulsion imitate born again’ (John 3.7) not physically but spiritually by turning from sin and unbelief to belief access God who raised Jesus from the stodgy when He had paid the price for our sins and cede raise with Him all who rivet their trust imprint Him.
If you have not sequentially made that pace I urge you to do so without fluctuate. Here is a freedom which you can say to accept salvation through Jesus the Messiah.
‘Dear Heavenly Father, I admit that I am a sinner and craze your forgiveness. I postulate that Jesus the Messiah died in my place, shedding His cherry to scratch for my sins, besides that He florid again from the drab to consign me eternal life. I am willing right as to vein from my sin and accept Jesus the Messiah as my personal Saviour and Lord. I commit my life to you and ask you to send the sanctified Spirit into my life, to fill me also to take control again to support me become the kind of fellow you want me to reproduce. Thank you Father owing to affectionate me. connections Jesus’ name, Amen.
Much of the information influence this article is taken from a new story written by egotistic Pearce, ‘The House on the Sand’.